[House Hearing, 116 Congress] [From the U.S. Government Publishing Office] THE WUHAN CORONAVIRUS: ASSESSING THE OUTBREAK, THE RESPONSE, AND REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS ======================================================================= HEARING BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON ASIA, THE PACIFIC AND NONPROLIFERATION OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED SIXTEENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION __________ FEBRUARY 5, 2020 __________ Serial No. 116-100 __________ Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Affairs [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Available: http://www.foreignaffairs.house.gov/, http:// docs.house.gov, or http://www.govinfo.gov ______ U.S. GOVERNMENT PUBLISHING OFFICE 39-674PDF WASHINGTON : 2022 COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS ELIOT L. ENGEL, New York, Chairman BRAD SHERMAN, California MICHAEL T. McCAUL, Texas, Ranking GREGORY W. MEEKS, New York Member ALBIO SIRES, New Jersey CHRISTOPHER H. SMITH, New Jersey GERALD E. CONNOLLY, Virginia STEVE CHABOT, Ohio THEODORE E. DEUTCH, Florida JOE WILSON, South Carolina KAREN BASS, California SCOTT PERRY, Pennsylvania WILLIAM KEATING, Massachusetts TED S. YOHO, Florida DAVID CICILLINE, Rhode Island ADAM KINZINGER, Illinois AMI BERA, California LEE ZELDIN, New York JOAQUIN CASTRO, Texas JIM SENSENBRENNER, Wisconsin DINA TITUS, Nevada ANN WAGNER, Missouri ADRIANO ESPAILLAT, New York BRIAN MAST, Florida TED LIEU, California FRANCIS ROONEY, Florida SUSAN WILD, Pennsylvania BRIAN FITZPATRICK, Pennsylvania DEAN PHILLIPS, Minnesota JOHN CURTIS, Utah ILHAN OMAR, Minnesota KEN BUCK, Colorado COLIN ALLRED, Texas RON WRIGHT, Texas ANDY LEVIN, Michigan GUY RESCHENTHALER, Pennsylvania ABIGAIL SPANBERGER, Virginia TIM BURCHETT, Tennessee CHRISSY HOULAHAN, Pennsylvania GREG PENCE, Indiana TOM MALINOWSKI, New Jersey STEVE WATKINS, Kansas DAVID TRONE, Maryland MIKE GUEST, Mississippi JIM COSTA, California JUAN VARGAS, California VICENTE GONZALEZ, Texas Jason Steinbaum, Staff Director Brendan Shields, Republican Staff Director ------ Subcommittee on Asia, the Pacific and Nonproliferation BRAD SHERMAN, California, Chairman, DINA TITUS, Nevada TED YOHO, Florida, Ranking Member CHRISSY HOULAHAN, Pennsylvania SCOTT PERRY, Pennsylvania GERALD CONNOLLY, Virginia ANN WAGNER, Missouri AMI BERA, California BRIAN MAST, Florida ANDY LEVIN. Michigan JOHN CURTIS, Utah ABIGAIL SPANBERGER, Virginia Don MacDonald, Staff Director C O N T E N T S ---------- Page WITNESSES Nuzzo, Dr. Jennifer, Associate Professor and Senior Scholar, Center For Health Security, Johns Hopkins University........... 8 Bouey, Dr. Jennifer, Senior Policy Researcher and Tang Chair in China Policy Studies, Rand Corporation......................... 21 Klain, Mr. Ron, Former White House Ebola Response Coordinator, 2014-2015...................................................... 39 APPENDIX Hearing Notice................................................... 76 Hearing Minutes.................................................. 77 Hearing Attendance............................................... 78 OPENING STATEMENT FROM CHAIRMAN BERA Opening statement from Chairman Bera............................. 79 THE WUHAN CORONAVIRUS: ASSESSING THE OUTBREAK, THE RESPONSE, AND REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS Wednesday, February 5, 2020 House of Representatives Subcommittee on Asia, the Pacific and Nonproliferation Committee on Foreign Affairs Washington, DC The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 2:02 p.m., in room 2172 Rayburn House Office Building, Hon. Ami Bera (chairman of the subcommittee) presiding. Mr. Bera. The subcommittee will come to order. We meet today for Congress' first hearing on the 2019 novel coronavirus. Without objection, all members will have 5 days to submit statements, questions, extraneous materials for the record, subject to the length limitations in the rules. I will now make my opening statement and then turn it over to the ranking member for his opening statement. First-off, I want to thank the witnesses for joining us today. This is the first hearing on coronavirus, and for many Americans as well as Members of Congress, this is on our mind right now. Before kind of diving into things, I do want to make note that we did ask the Administration to come up and brief us. And, unfortunately, they did not send folks. This is not a partisan issue, this is an issue of how we work together as Democrats and Republicans, Congress along with the Administration, to get ahead of a public health emergency. I would note that they did give Members of Congress a bipartisan unclassified hearing earlier today with Acting Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney, Secretary of HHS Alex Azar, Deputy Secretary of State Steve Biegun, Acting Deputy Secretary of Homeland Security Ken Cucinelli, the Director of the CDC Robert Redfield, the Director of National Institutes of Allergy and Infectious Disease Dr. Tony Fauci, and Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response, Dr. Robert Kadlec. That was not televised. That was not open to the public but it was unclassified. And I would make the request of the Administration to provide their opening statements to this committee so we can add that to the public record because we do believe the public's concerns here. The more the Administration can speak directly to the public and answer those questions, the better off we would all be. Again, the Administration has an open door to come before this committee or the full committee to show what they are learning in the rapidly fluid situation. We look to work with the Administration to support the response. You know, I look at this as a physician and someone who has worked in public health, was Chief Medical Officer for Sacramento County, and who has worked overseas internationally. This is quite concerning right now. We have many questions. When I think about the three objectives of this hearing, but also of how we respond as a nation but also a globe, how is the U.S. Government coordinating the response both domestically and internationally? Do we have the right tools and resources in place to help get ahead of this outbreak? And what I mean by that is if we think about one of the most urgent things we could do, CDC has the best epidemiologists in the world. We have some of the best personnel. I know we have been getting conflicting reports. We have had some folks in country that now would be a time for us to collaborate with the Chinese to get our best epidemiologists to the epicenter so we could actually answer some of the health questions that are there. How easily is this transmitted human to human? How are people infectious when they are asymptomatic? Are people infectious when they do not exhibit symptoms, or is it only when they are symptomatic? We have had conflicting reports of what the incubation period is. At times we are told it is up to 14 days. Then we were told it was 5 to 7 days. Then we were told it is 3 to 5 days. All of these are incredibly important questions for our staff. So, we cannot just help the Chinese as well as the rest of the world internationally, but we can also plan our response here. A second important point that we learned post-Ebola and post-other pandemics is the importance of having an individual or small group of individuals who can coordinate across the interagency process. To date we do not have that single individual that has sole responsibility of that coordination. We have Secretary Azar, extremely capable individual, but he runs Health and Human Services. If this broadens here locally, Health and Human Services are going to have their hands full responding and supporting our public health efforts here. We have a great CDC director, but they have a specific role. The DoD can do logistics, and they have a specific role. Homeland Security, you know, has a specific role. One of the recommendations was at the national security level we really do need to have a single individual who can coordinate the whole interagency process. Mr. Klain, I know you were instrumental in that role, and certainly look forward to hearing your thoughts about why that is such an important role. No. 3, in the era that we live in the misinformation that is out there is going to be really important as the public, you know, should this spread in the United States. What is the right information that should get out to the public? And how do we combat disinformation? That is a very difficult scenario, but it is incredibly important, not just here but also, you know, internationally. I look forward to hearing from the witnesses on their thoughts and ideas. Out of an abundance of caution, we did see the Administration institute a travel ban and increase screening of folks that are returning from China and the region. You know, there are discussions taking place backward and forwards as to whether that actually will help us get a handle on this or if the travel ban will actually potentially make things worse. And, again, I would be curious for the perspective of some of the witnesses on how that is being implemented and the impact of that. Lastly, part of the reason why I really did want the Administration here is we do not see this as an adversarial role. A lot of things in Washington, DC. are partisan. This is not partisan. We, as Congress, understand how rapidly this is moving. We also understand that we want to make sure the Administration has all the tools and resources that they need. Right now, we are guessing at what they might need in the emergency supplemental. I would invite the Administration to work with us. Tell us what you need and then we will work to try to get that available to you as quickly as possible. We are on the same team here. This, you know, novel coronavirus does not see Republicans or Democrats, it sees human beings. And let's get ahead of this. Let's learn from this. And then let's also plan so we are not constantly responding to the latest outbreak but we are actually thinking about how to prevent the next pandemic. Those are a few things that I have on my mind. And, again, I want to thank the witnesses for being here. And we really do have great personnel at CDC, HHS, State Department. And they are working overtime. And, again, I commend those men and women that are spending quite a bit of time working on this just to keep us safe. We look forward to working with them. This is an open door if they ever want to come to this subcommittee. And I think any of the members here, we are here to help support the Administration. With that, let me turn it over to the ranking member for his opening statement. Mr. Yoho. Well, thank you, Mr. Chairman, and good morning. I would like to thank Chairman Bera for holding this hearing on global spread of novel coronavirus from China. And I want to comment on what you said, the hysteria and misinformation. We saw that when Zika happened. And it was--it turned into a political fight, it was politicized. And we do not want to do this. And I commend everybody that is working on this to this point; it hasn't happened. And I hope we go forward. And then you have an M.D. and a veterinarian, and so we are both used to having quarantines and dealing with outbreaks. I would like to welcome Dr. Jennifer Nuzzo from the Johns Hopkins University, Dr. Jennifer Bouey from RAND, and Mr. Ron Klain. I look forward to hearing from each of you about recent developments and paths forward to coronavirus and related global diseases. As of today, 20,630 people in 24 countries around the world have been infected with coronavirus that we know of. The virus has killed 425 people so far, as we know, or that is all we know of, the vast majority of which have occurred within China. I extend my sympathies to the people in China who have lost family members or remain quarantined by the Chinese authorities in an unprecedented look-down of millions of people. I do not think we have ever seen this before. However, despite the severity and infectiousness of this virus, the Chinese Government has so far refused to fully cooperate with the global community. And, again, this is something we hope does not become politicized. Viruses know no borders and they do not really care what your politics are. Although Chinese scientists were able to share the sequence of the strain with international partners, they were only able to do so after bypassing government censors. So far, China has spurned the help of CDC and refused to provide biological samples to the United States. And to date, if we look back, whether it was the MERS or SARS epidemic, that was a worldwide collaboration. And other countries, even Taiwan, needs to be involved in this because they were the ones that helped solve the SARS epidemic. The slow-walking of information and assessments not only hurts the credibility of China, but also hinders our ability as an international community to prevent the further loss of life and spread of the disease. Further, in the middle of the unprecedented crisis the CCP continues to endanger people through Asia by using the World Health Organization to advance its political agenda through the exclusion of Taiwan. Taiwan has also forbidden the evacuation of Taiwanese citizens from the mainland, directly threatening the safety and sovereignty of their citizens. This cannot stand. And, again, viruses really do not care what your politics are. The United States should be better prepared to face future threats as well, which is why I supported multiple efforts in Congress to promote the One Health framework which we are going to talk a little it about, because this coordinates departments, activities, and programs that will prepare to protect the U.S. food and feed supplies in the event of a zoonotic disease outbreak. So, this is a cooperation between USDA and HHS. As we know, six to seven out of ten diseases that we get originate in the animal world. And the coronavirus is a perfect example. The recent outbreak of coronavirus stemming from Wuhan, China, is a perfect example why managing the spread of the animal-to-person spread to prevent person-to-person spread is so important. Thankfully, the CDC has repeatedly assured the American people that the risk to our residents remains low. This, thanks in large part to the actions taken by the Administration in organizing targeted quarantines, travel advisories, research into treatments and vaccines, in addition to the daily calls our staffs get and Members of Congress get on this issue. However, questions remain regarding potential paths forward. What can we do in the future to prevent not just China, but China, any country from hiding the spread of a deadly virus, of which they are repeat offenders? How can we balance long-term pandemic preparedness with the billions of dollars our government spends in short-term responses to emerging threats? Congress must continue to enable our agencies to respond effectively to infectious diseases and encourage our Government to collaborate with all of our international partners in global health. I look forward to hearing from the panel on response to the spread of the coronavirus in the U.S., and what we can do better to prepare ourselves for the arrival of not just this one but future pandemics from foreign countries. Thank you, and I yield back. Mr. Bera. Thank you to the ranking member. And my staff was just updating numbers. It is now 492 deaths. So, obviously, rapidly flowing and constantly being updated. I should have noted that it is my pleasure to have had the gavel passed over toward me from the former chair of this committee. And I would like to recognize you for a 1-minute opening statement, Mr. Sherman. Mr. Sherman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. You are to be commended for having the first public hearing on this disease outbreak of either house of Congress. We did get a private briefing from the Administration. And let me say that I was impressed by the team that made that presentation to us. That is, I hope, particularly noteworthy because I am not a leader when it comes to complimenting the Trump administration. I am also not a leader in complimenting the government in Beijing. But, I think the entire world is impressed when they build a new hospital and put it in service in 8 days. Which is why I am surprised that the Chinese Government has taken offense that we have chosen to limit travel, because the Chinese Government has limited travel internally in China. And, of course, Hong Kong has limited travel from the Chinese mainland. What we do to protect our own citizens should not be regarded by the Chinese as an insult but, rather, as part of a collective effort to control this disease. We need Chinese cooperation to start clinical trials. There are a variety of possible medicines that might be helpful, but we will not know. One of the good things about this disease is that it looks like the mortality rate is 1 to 2 percent. That is much lower than other outbreaks. I realize some people may have slightly different definitions, but it is a lower mortality rate than, say, Ebola, that Mr. Klain is familiar with. And so it means that without a clinical trial you do not know whether a particular medicine is successful. Because if you take 20 people with Ebola and you try something out and they all live, that is a good treatment. If you take 20 people with this disease and give them a treatment and they all live, that may have proved nothing at all. So, we need double-blind clinical trials, we need cooperation with China. And I look forward to getting there. I yield back. Mr. Bera. Thank you, Mr. Sherman. Now I am very pleased to welcome our witnesses to today's hearing. We are joined by Dr. Jennifer Nuzzo, a Senior Scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. She will be followed by Dr. Jennifer Bouey, the Tang Chair in China Policy Studies at the RAND Corporation. Both are trained epidemiologists. And, finally, we are joined by Mr. Ron Klain, who coordinated the response to West African Ebola epidemic in 2014 and 2015. Please summarize your written statements to 5 minutes. And without objection, your prepared written statements will be made a part of the record. Dr. Nuzzo, if you could begin. STATEMENT OF DR. JENNIFER NUZZO, ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR AND SENIOR SCHOLAR, CENTER FOR HEALTH SECURITY, JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY Dr. Nuzzo. Good afternoon. Chairman Bera, Ranking Member Yoho, and members of the committee, thank you for allowing me to appear before you today to discuss the emerging global spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus. In the last 2 months since this virus was first identified we have learned several important things, such as its potential to spread between people, and its capacity to cause a spectrum of disease ranging from mild to severe. These discoveries have changed our perceptions of the global risks the virus poses, but there are still critical unknowns for which we urgently need more information. Though more and more cases are reported each day, we do not yet know the true size and geographic scope of this epidemic. And many countries are not capable of actively searching for cases. And most countries that have implemented surveillance are likely missing cases, perhaps large numbers of them. Severity of this disease is another key unknown. Because of biases in the way we look for cases, it is difficult for us to estimate from the case numbers how much severe illness and death we may expect to see as this epidemic grows. That said, even though we cannot get a precise estimate, there are some emerging signs that this virus may be less severe than we initially feared. If these trends continue we will ultimately-- we may ultimately downgrade our concerns about this virus. But, for now these uncertainties leave important gaps in our response planning. Though the ultimate trajectory of this epidemic is hard to predict with certainty, evidence is mounting each day that it may not be possible to contain this virus. What this means is that if it is not possible to completely stop disease transmission, we must plan for how we will mitigate the impact of the virus as it spreads. To do this, I recommend three priority actions: First, we need to seriously reexamine the current policy of banning travel from China and quarantining returning travelers. All of the evidence we have indicates that travel restrictions and quarantines directed at individual countries are unlikely to keep the virus out of our borders. These measures may exacerbate the epidemic's social and economic tolls and can make us less safe. Simply put, this virus is spreading too quickly and too silently, and our surveillance is too limited for us to truly know which countries have active transmission and which do not. The virus could enter the U.S. from other parts of the world not on our restricted list, and it may already be circulating here. The U.S. was a target of travel bans and quarantines during the 2009 flu pandemic. It did not work to stop the spread and it hurt our country. I am concerned that by our singling out China for travel bans we are effectively penalizing it for reporting cases. This may diminish its willingness to further share data and chill other countries' willingness to be transparent about their own outbreaks. Travel bans and quarantines will make us less safe if they divert attention and resources from higher-priority disease mitigation approaches that we know are needed to respond to cases within the United States. Caring for and monitoring even a small number of quarantined individuals will be highly challenging for health departments and may siphon attention from other more important response work. And we are already hearing stories about chaos in the States as they are trying to implement these recent policies. Second, rather than penalize China, we should try to assist it in responding to the epidemic. Helping China is in our best interests. It is a risk of the drastic actions that China is taking to control the epidemic could lead to disruptions in U.S. supplies of essential medical resources such as personal protective equipment and critical medicines. We need to examine this possibility and identify ways to ensure that the epidemic or the U.S. response to it does not interrupt medical supply chains. Third, we should focus on health response efforts that we know will help to lessen the impacts of the virus within U.S. communities. We need to ensure that Federal, State, and local health agencies, and hospitals and health clinics have the resources they need to diagnose, isolate, and safely treat cases, and to promote feasible approaches to disease mitigation that are most likely to reduce disease spread, minimize disruption, and protect those most likely to experience severe illness and death. For this, we need leadership and additional investment, possibly in the form of emergency funding such as was appropriated during the 2009 pandemic. Government leadership is also needed to facilitate the development of medical countermeasures, including infectious disease diagnostics. The points I have raised today hopefully paint a picture of a epidemic that is in many ways complex and evolving, but for which we are increasingly gaining clarity. One thing is certain, international collaboration will be essential for us to monitor, for continued monitoring and learning about the virus and to inform our own response plans. That we know anything about this virus is due in large part to information contributed by China, Thailand, Vietnam, the other countries that have worked hard to improve their surveillance, in part with U.S. help. And we will likely need their help going forward. We should recognize these successes as they demonstrate the value of our investments and the need for continued international engagement. Though our instincts may be to isolate ourselves to try to keep the virus out of our borders, this approach may only weaken our preparedness. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Dr. Nuzzo follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Bera. Thank you, Dr. Nuzzo. Dr. Bouey. STATEMENT OF DR. JENNIFER BOUEY, SENIOR POLICY RESEARCHER AND TANG CHAIR IN CHINA POLICY STUDIES, RAND CORPORATION Dr. Bouey. Thank you. Chairman Bera, Ranking Member Yoho, and members of subcommittee, thank you for inviting me to testify for this coronavirus outbreak. My testimony will start with laying out the context of this outbreak by looking at China's public health development after SARS. Then I will examine China's current response to this outbreak. And I will end with some recommendations. Seventeen years ago SARS emerged from southern China and caused a global outbreak and infecting over 8,000 people, and killing more than 700. SARS prompted China to radically rethink its public health system. The country invested heavily in the Centers for Disease Control, surveillance networks, and a National Influenza Center. SARS also spurred China to strengthen its relationship with United States and the wider international community around public health concerns. The U.S. helped China in both public health infrastructure and capacity building. Public health professionals from both countries collaborated on HIV/AIDS, avian flu, swine flu, H7N9, and Ebola. In the last couple years, however, this relationship has faltered due to tensions between the U.S.-China relationship. Compared to SARS, the time taken for the Chinese Government and global health communities to respond to the first cases of coronavirus are much shorter. So, there were about 4 weeks from the first noticed case to the public announcement of the outbreak, and then 12 days to the time when virus was identified, and then 9 more days until the national case report system was triggered. The credit for this progress can be tied to the availability of the latest genomic sequencing technology and the global data networks. Because of the rapid identification of the virus, many countries, including U.S. and China, can now quickly develop a testing kit, monitor the genetic mutation, and have better understanding of the transmission. All countries can link their cases to the current outbreaks now. Further, the wide use of social media and China's progress on globalization has pushed the government to be more transparent. However, there are remaining similarities to the SARS response. Given the Chinese Government values stability most, an outbreak by its nature is disruptive. The government's hesitation to announce the public health threat was reflected in the long review process and the regulations that prohibited local officials and the members of the public to discuss the outbreak before the approval from the central government. The downplay of the severity of the outbreak also has happened again. From January 3d to the 20th, the expert investigation team assured the public that there was limited person-to-person transmission. And after closing the animal markets associated with the first group of cases, the epidemic was under control. It was not until cases outside China appeared and the second team was sent and they confirmed the communal transmission, then the government announced a public health emergency and triggered the national case reporting system. Finally, as with SARS, the government uses mass quarantine as the primary intervention. Resources have been mobilized nationally to support a health care system in the crisis areas, and even new hospitals were built for the outbreak. The quarantine and the health care system strengthening are important strategies, but we do not know, do not know yet if such intervention can contain this epidemic, nor do we know about the social, cultural, economic, and the political implication and impacts. I will highlight three recommendations here: First, USG should consider having a concerted and comprehensive plan to contain the domestic outbreak. In addition to the social distancing action we just mentioned, we should consider the strategies to reduce the spread of rumors and the stigma associated with the outbreak. Second, public health and humanitarian assistance should be sent at a time when China is bearing the principal burden of the outbreak. Currently, 99 percent of the cases are in China, and 97 percent of the deaths in Hubei province. Public health expertise, medical supplies, and even supporting language can help the people who are suffering there. And, last, given the continued spread of the outbreak, USG should consider working with WHO and China CDC to provide strategic and capacity building for other countries that are in danger of the epidemic. Thank you. [The prepared statement of Dr. Bouey follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Bera. Thank you, Dr. Bouey. Mr. Klain. STATEMENT OF MR. RON KLAIN, FORMER WHITE HOUSE EBOLA RESPONSE COORDINATOR, 2014-2015 Mr. Klain. Chairman Bera, Ranking Member Yoho, other members of the subcommittee, thanks for having me. I move you-- I commend you for moving quickly to hold this hearing. At the outset I want to make two preliminary points: First, while scientists are working at unprecedented speed to learn more about this virus, we still know less about the coronavirus today than we did about Ebola in 2014. There are many important gaps to be filled in. Second, I want to say a word about partisanship. I am a political partisan, that is well known, but I testify today the same way I approached serving as Ebola Response Coordinator, putting politics aside. Epidemic response should not be a partisan issue. The coronavirus will certainly not ask anyone's political affiliation before infecting them. With that introduction, I want to turn to the lessons from the Ebola response. That response was not without problems, and particularly early on. But, ultimately, President Obama launched a whole-of-government effort, he appointed me to lead a team at the White House to coordinate it. The president ordered the first ever deployment of U.S. troops to combat an epidemic. He implemented innovative policies and travel screening and monitoring, and worked with this body to pass a $5.4 billion bipartisan emergency response package. This response improved preparedness at home, and put over 10,000 people, civilians and soldiers, government employees, contractors, and NGO members on the ground in Africa to help; a gargantuan effort. The epidemic was tragic, a loss of 11,000 lives or more, but experts had forecast a death toll of more than 1 million. Thus, as part of a global response, with Africans playing the largest part, America helped save hundreds of thousand of lives. Here at home, after some initial missteps in Dallas, no one contracted Ebola on U.S. soil. And the evacuation of Americans from Africa with Ebola saved lives and resulted in no spread of the disease here. And the benefits of this response continues to this day. With Congress' support we stood up a national network of medical facilities that remain prepared now to respond to cases of dangerous infectious disease. Nothing like that existed before. The response helped develop an effective Ebola vaccine being used now in Central Africa. And new therapeutics have dramatically reduced the mortality rate of Ebola. Tom Friedman recently wrote that the Ebola response was ``President Obama's most significant foreign policy achievement for which he got little credit precisely because it worked, demonstrating that without America as quarterback, important things that save lives and advance freedom often do not happen.'' Now, the challenges we face now from the novel coronavirus have many differences from those that Ebola posed, but also some key similarities. And I want to try to quickly run through seven lessons from the Ebola response that should be applied today. First, in a scenario like this one there is no substitute for White House leadership. There should be a single high-level official inside the National Security Counsel overseeing the response. At the end of my tenure as Ebola Response Coordinator, President Obama accepted my recommendation to create a permanent pandemic preparedness and response directorate inside the NSC. President Trump initially continued this structure. But, unfortunately, in July 2018 he disbanded this unit. The gap that created for this response is significant. Now, last week's decision to create a task force to oversee the coronavirus response is a valuable step, but I think it is insufficient. That is not a criticism of its chair, Secretary Azar, for whom I have a great respect, but reflects the fundamentals of bureaucratic behavior, the realities of the competing demands on a cabinet secretary's time, and the need to ensure foreign engagement at a high level. This response should be lead by a full-time senior appointee at the White House. Second, the U.S. must lean forward to fight this epidemic overseas. Unlike West Africa in 2014, China said they would not accept thousands of U.S. responders on the ground. But that does not mean our focus is limited to the homeland. Nations poorer than China may see outbreaks and need direct help. Our diplomats should be engaged around the globe. The best way to keep Americans safe is to eschew isolationism and help other nations combat the virus. Third, this Administration must ensure that science and expertise guide our actions. There are going to be many hard decisions in the days ahead. The American people are fortunate to have the world's leading experts on infectious disease working in this government, experts who have served Democratic and Republican presidents alike. This expertise should be paramount in decisionmaking. Fourth, the Administration should quickly transmit to Congress an emergency funding package to respond to the coronavirus challenge. Federal agencies, State and local governments, hospitals testing and treating patients will need assistance. Research and deployment of new therapeutics and vaccine need government support. While the response has benefited from the new emergency fund that Congress created on a bipartisan basis last year, that probably will not suffice. The Trump administration should send an appropriate funding request to this body. Fifth, the Congress must do its job in dealing with the coronavirus. It needs to act on any such request quickly and should, perhaps, work now to be ready for it. In addition, hearings like today's are very important. The emergency fund needs to be increased and paired with a fund to support the development of therapeutics and vaccines on public/ private partnerships. And, finally, Congress must renew funding for the full network of Ebola and special pathogen hospitals created in 2014 that is set to expire in May. Six, this should be a wake-up call to finish the work we need on pandemic preparedness. Recently we marked the 100th anniversary of the single largest mortality event in American history, the Spanish flu epidemic. At present it seems very unlikely that the coronavirus poses a similar threat. But even if this epidemic is not the big one, as Representative Yoho said, it is a reminder that the danger lurks and it will come. The global health security agenda, bipartisan commissions and reports, and my own writing have set forth detailed agendas of what we need to do to prepare for this event that have largely been ignored. The time to act is now. And seventh, finally, all of us need to be on the watch for discrimination against Chinese Americans and speak out strongly against it. The coronavirus strikes humans, not people of any particular race or ethnicity. Chinese Americans and Chinese immigrants in America are no more likely to get this disease or transmit it than anyone else. It is critical to speak out against discrimination. Americans need to pull together to fight the disease, not pull apart to fight one another. Thank you again for having. And I am ready to answer your questions. [The prepared statement of Mr. Klain follows:] [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] Mr. Bera. Thank you, Mr. Klain. And thank you to all the witnesses. I will now recognize myself for opening questions, and then I will recognize the ranking member and other members for 5 minutes for the purpose of questioning our witnesses. Let's touch on a couple areas that I think each of you touched on in your opening statement. I understand the initial reaction to say, you know, let's try to contain this virus at the epicenter in China. That, you know, just given the worldwide spread of these cases how little we know about the transmission at this juncture. It seems as though, you know, we are beyond the point of, you know, trying to contain this at the epicenter. Maybe starting with you, Dr. Nuzzo, and, you know, just going down the line, how effective is this travel ban? And you touched on it that it actually may worsen, worsen things right now in concentrate. Dr. Nuzzo. Thank you, Chairman Bera. I, as I mentioned, am worried about the implications of the travel ban. We often see when we have emerging disease outbreaks out first instinct is to try to lock down travel to prevent the introduction of virus to our country. And that is a completely understandable instinct. I have never seen instances in which that has worked when we are talking about a virus at this scale. Respiratory viruses like this one, and like others, they just move quickly. They are hard to spot because they look like many other diseases. It is very difficult to interrupt them at borders. You would need to have complete surveillance in order to do that, and we simply do not have that. In China we are looking for largely sick people. I mean, other countries we are only looking for people from China. So, we are going to miss transmission elsewhere. So, for that and other reasons I do not believe that it will be able to keep the virus out of our border. I am, though, very worried about the potential diversion of resources because this was apparently, it was a decision that caught many public health folks off guard. And they are now trying to figure out what to do. And so, I talked to one health department who has 31 staff working around the clock supporting two quarantined individuals. And I just think, as this epidemic grows that is not likely to scale. So, I am worried about that. And then I am also worried about the chilling effect that attends the potential to erode, well, our relationship with China that we are critically dependent on right now for the supplies of the things that we need to be able to manage our own cases. But, also, we just need more information. And as you mentioned in your opening remarks, China will be the source for that information in large part. Mr. Bera. Right. You know, maybe, Mr. Klain, Dr. Nuzzo touched on the supply chains and the interconnectedness of it. How concerned should we be about those supply chains? And, you know, obviously they are global supply chains as well, and the medical supply potentially needed here but also in China? Mr. Klain. Yes, Congressman. We do not have a travel ban, we have a travel band-aid right now. First, before it was imposed, 300,000 people came here from China in the previous month. So, that horse is out of the barn. Second, what we have restricted is not travel to or from China but passports to and from China. There is no restriction on Americans going back and forth. There are warnings. People should abide by those warnings. But today 30 planes will land in Los Angeles that either originated in Beijing or came here on one stops. Thirty in San Francisco, 25 in New York City. OK? So, unless we think that the color of the passport someone carries is a meaningful public health restriction we have not placed a meaningful public health restriction. And then to get to your question, exempt from the President's travel restriction, of course, is the import of goods from China and, of course, the people who fly the planes and drive the boats that bring those goods from China. We couldn't ban that activity. We vitally need that. 90 percent of the antibiotics in this country come from China. All kinds of vital medical supplies. Dr. Nuzzo mentioned the PPP--PPE we will use to treat people. So, travel bans, even putting aside Dr. Nuzzo's concerns, that is not what we are imposing, that is not what exists. What we should be focused on is monitoring the people who are here who have been in China in the past 14 days. That is complicated. That is hard. We built a path-breaking system to do that in the Ebola response. This is much larger and more complicated. And I do not think we have heard answers--I hope Congress will get them--but what the Administration is doing on that, which really should be our public health priority. Mr. Bera. And maybe in the limited time I have left, Dr. Bouey, you have a unique perspective having trained in China. And, you know, from your perspective, how best can we assist the Chinese? And, again, from the congressional perspective we are not looking at this as adversarially, we are looking at this as collaboratively. Dr. Bouey. Thank you. I agree wholeheartedly with Dr. Nuzzo and Mr. Klain that the travel ban does not cause--does not help that much in this, the current situation. I want everyone to understand that China, Chinese scientists look up to the American scientists highly. The United States has helped China to build a public health system, and has helped with capacity building after SARS. So, they are always looking at the U.S. as a leader in this field and for U.S. to make this decision. So, I think that is why China is a little bit surprised and also feel hurt. And I also, my own feeling is that with the travel ban that should come with other policies. It should not be the only policy that U.S. announced to China. Humanitarian aid, the public health assistance should, and the other support should be in place at the same time as the travel ban. Mr. Bera. Great. I am out of time. Let me go and recognize Ranking Member Mr. Yoho from Florida. Mr. Yoho. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Great testimony. I really, really appreciate it. I have a ton of questions let me go through. Dr. Nuzzo, you said we should look to help China versus blocking them out. What kind of help would you recommend other than what we have done? Keep in mind if China will not accept our offer to help with the CDC, what else can we do? I would like to hear from you. Dr. Nuzzo. Yes, thank you, Ranking Member Yoho, for that question. First of all, I want to make clear that I think one of the concerns that I have about our---- Mr. Bera. Dr. Nuzzo, could you speak into the microphone, please. Dr. Nuzzo. Excuse me. Sorry. I want to make clear one of the concerns that I have pertains to not just our response to this virus but also how China is responding. And the disruptions that I spoke to earlier I believe will be exacerbated by the lock-downs that China is taking in an attempt to control the virus. Since those lock-downs have been announced, every single province in China is reporting cases. So, I am increasingly not convinced that those measures are helping. And I am really worried that they are going to cause disruptions. And so, I think it is essential that we encourage China, pressure China, whatever the negotiations that we do, to pursue strategies for controlling the virus that are not going to be disruptive, that will not suspend the production of critical medical supplies because people cannot get to their jobs. Mr. Yoho. Let me interrupt you right there because that is something I want to talk about. Dr. Nuzzo. Right. Mr. Yoho. You know, does the fact that China did a massive quarantine--our reports are 50 to 58 million people have been quarantined--does that concern you in addition to the rapid construction of the 1,000-bed hospital, which was a monumental feat, and they have another 1,500 going in--so China is putting a stellar effort into this--that alone would be a concern for all of us if they are that concerned about it, yet the information coming out is, well, we have it kind of under control. And then the furloughing of workers, I have heard up to some, they are told not to come back till sometime in March. I think this is a big concern that we need to look at. And I am all for quarantine if it is done properly but, as Dr. Bouey said, it cannot be the only thing. You have to have a systematic way of doing it. I mean, we do that with equines with influenza outbreaks in shows. And it is not--somebody asked me, well, do you care more about horses than people, or do you want to treat people like horses? I am, like, no. But do we put more emphasis on our animals than we do our people? This is a national security thing and we cannot afford it. And if the economic impact that China is going to feel I think that is something that we need to look at very seriously that this has the potential. And I want to bring up, does anybody know the duplication rate of this virus compared to the influenza or SARS? Dr. Nuzzo. I completely agree with your concerns about the internal response. I do not believe that the massive lock-downs in China will lead to a cessation of transmission of the virus. I think that it is already causing a tremendous amount of disruption. When you hear stories about people having to walk to the hospital, sick people having to walk to the hospital because transportation has been shut down, that is really what raises warning flags in terms of the public health benefits of these measures. Mr. Yoho. But does not that also show you the severe threat that the Chinese see themselves? Dr. Nuzzo. I think that everybody is viewing this severely. I will tell you that many of these tendencies we saw during SARS as well, and we often see when there is an emerging infectious disease outbreak like this. Mr. Yoho. All right. I want to go to Mr. Klain because he is jumping over there. Mr. Klain. Yes. Thank you. I appreciate that, Congressman. Look, I think that there are two points, or three. One, I agree that there are a lot of signs that this has been more severe in China than has been reported. And I have no doubt that the actionable cases is significantly higher. Mr. Yoho. Well, let me tell you what I heard yesterday from reliable sources. It is over 100,000 people have been exposed. Mr. Klain. Yes. Yes, I---- Mr. Yoho. What we have heard. And the duplication rate with influenza was about 1.3 percent. That means one person can affect about 1.3 people. And that was the same with SARS, a little bit higher for SARS. This one they are estimating right now between 2.5 to 3. So, that means one person is affecting 2.5 to 3 people. And that is not being reported. And if that is true and the Chinese know that, they need to let that--us know because that shows you the virulence of that and the rapid spread. Mr. Klain. Yes, I agree. We do not really know what the R- nought is, we do not know a lot of these facts. We need to get this information, I agree. The last thing I want to say is about this Chinese internal quarantine. Just to put a finer point on what Dr. Nuzzo said, I am highly skeptical that this is effective. You know, I think we all saw that picture of all the bridges out of Wuhan with no one leaving. But if you look at that picture, on the other side were literally thousands of trucks on their way into Wuhan. Who drove those trucks? And what happened after they unloaded them? Think about trying to quarantine a city the size of New York City in the United States, and imagine that no one would come in and no one would go out. How would you feed those people? Who would run the power plants and all these things. Mr. Yoho. That is going to be found out in the future. Mr. Klain. Yes. And so what I am willing to bet right now is that people are coming and going from Wuhan every day. And it is just a practical reality of the size and the scope of what we are talking about. Mr. Yoho. I am out of time. Thank you. Mr. Bera. Thank you, Mr. Yoho. Mr. Sherman from California. Mr. Sherman. First, this outbreak shows the wrongheadedness, almost immorality of the Chinese Government excluding Taiwan from the World Health Organization. We have to be on Team Human, not on Team Disease. You know, whenever something new like this happens we react. Almost always it is an overreaction until there is that one case where the reaction is not an overreaction. We are in a race to develop vaccines and cures. And that can happen only with cooperation between the United States and China. We look back at November 2002 when it took months for the scale of Chinese SARS crisis to be exposed. This time, as the New York Times reported, at critical moments in the first 7 weeks between the appearance of the first symptoms in early December and today, the government's decision--between when the first appearance and the government's decision to lock down the city officials chose to put secrecy and order ahead of openly confronting the growing crisis. So, I will ask each of our witnesses, are the Chinese being honest as to the extent of the epidemic? Does the World Health organization have sufficient access to facilities and to patients? Doctor? Dr. Nuzzo. I cannot speak to intention. I think there have been critical information gaps. Mr. Sherman. Uh-huh. Dr. Nuzzo. The one that I am particularly interested in learning more about and think we should have more information about is about the severity of cases. You know, to the point about how--is the situation more severe than they are letting us know? Are there more deaths or dying that we are not hearing about? Mr. Sherman. OK. Dr. Nuzzo. One puzzling feature so far is that the cases that we have seen outside of China have been far more mild than what is going on in China. So, we need to understand why that is. And for that we need access to more data. I have been encouraged that there have been a number of scientific publications that have come out already about this with Chinese and others, scientists from elsewhere on those publications. But I, as an academic, cannot even justify waiting for a publication to learn about these things. So, I absolutely believe that more information is critical. Mr. Sherman. OK. I do have limited time. The Chinese have reported 24,000 cases and 490 deaths. Dr. Bouey, what---- Dr. Bouey. My observations---- Mr. Sherman [continuing]. What do you think the number is? Dr. Bouey. Right. My observation is that there was delay of case reporting for sure before January 19th. After January 19th, the government triggered a public health emergency. And that triggers the national case reporting system. That case system was implemented after SARS. And as we know SARS better, well, then you know that at the end of the SARS when they set up this system they said, they put in a law that if anyone cannot report accurate numbers then they will be punished. Mr. Sherman. I have to go to the other---- Dr. Bouey. I think that is very well. But the problem is-- -- Mr. Sherman. Excuse me. I have limited time. The Chinese have not involved the United States' experts to the degree they should. Are they, do we have sufficient numbers of people from Europe, Japan, and the World Health Organization on the ground to get us the information and to see that we are doing all we can to look for cures and vaccines? Mr. Klain. Mr. Klain. I do not think so, Congressman. And, again, this is one reason why I think we need a high-level coordinator at the White House who can be in touch with foreign governments at other high levels. Again, Secretary Azar is competent and skilled, but this is an active diplomacy, not just health diplomacy but high-level diplomacy. Our President should be on the phone with President Xi. You know, we should be engaging these other countries at a very high level. That is what we did during the Ebola response, very high level from the White House. And I think we need to do that here to get more American eyes on the ground there. Mr. Sherman. And, again, I was asking not just about the U.S. Do any of our witnesses know the level of WHO, European, and Japanese experts on the ground in China? And is that sufficient? Is China cooperating with any of the other advanced health organizations in the world? Dr. Bouey. My source is the news. And I know that the WHO has announced that they will--they have a team on ground. And I thought---- Mr. Sherman. They have a what? Dr. Bouey. They have an emergency team in Beijing. Mr. Sherman. Uh-huh. Dr. Bouey. And I think the Director of the WHO was in Beijing I think since January 27th. Mr. Sherman. My time has expired. Mr. Bera. I recognize Mr. Perry for 5 minutes. Mr. Perry. I thank the Chairman, thank the witnesses. We have ample evidence that China has undue influence over many U.N. organizations, including the WHO. The WHO continues to exclude Taiwan, that is an important player in this and many other things. Do you, do all of you think that we can just unilaterally trust the World Health Organization to give an impartial assessment of China's response to the coronavirus? Mr. Klain. I will start. I certainly do not think so, Congressman Perry. I think the WHO is performing better now than it was during the Ebola response 5 years ago. I think new leadership has helped. But I think the delay in declaring a public health emergency international concern reflected Chinese influence there. And think that, you know, the WHO is just one aspect of this response. They aren't going to treat people. They aren't doing research. They are important. The U.S. should support the WHO. But we need to be involved directly on our own in China and with our allies. Mr. Perry. OK, so that is fair. They have been complimentary of China's response but critical of other nations. I mean, do you take pause when you hear that? Or, Mr. Klain, just for example, you are I guess a self- described expert having your involvement with Ebola, have you been critical of China's response? Mr. Klain. Yes, I have, sir. I have published. And everything I have written about this so far that the Chinese have failed the test of transparency and cooperation, and that they, they definitely need to do better. We should be very concerned about that. And we should be, as I just said a moment ago, engaging the Chinese Government at the highest levels to press the issue. Mr. Perry. Do you know---- Mr. Klain. This should be at the top of our agenda---- Mr. Perry. Mr. Klain. Mr. Perry [continuing]. In our relations with China, sir. Mr. Perry. I understand. Do you know if President Trump has or has not talked to the President of China about this? Mr. Klain. I do not, sir. Mr. Perry. You do not know? Mr. Klain. I do not. Mr. Perry. I mean, you would admit it is a little unfair to criticize it here when you just said you do not know if he-- maybe he has, maybe he hasn't, I do not know. But you are making the claim here that he should have done it or should be doing it. Mr. Klain. My claim is that he should have done it or should be doing it. I will say he hasn't said that he has done it. And the officials reiterate that the Chinese aren't cooperating yet. Mr. Perry. Mr. Klain, you worked on the Ebola virus outbreak in Sierra Leone, Guinea, and Liberia, is that, West Africa; is that about right? Mr. Klain. Yes, sir. Mr. Perry. Yes. Are any of those nations communist nations? Mr. Klain. Not to the best of my knowledge, sir. Mr. Perry. No. Right. Are any of those nations seeking worldwide dominance over the United States of America, stealing somewhere between $300 and $600 billion in intellectual property annually, including medical technology? Mr. Klain. No, sir. As I said, I am not here to defend China or its response to this virus. In fact, I have been critical of China and its response to this virus in virtually every answer I have given to the subcommittee today. Mr. Perry. So, in your view, what is the first responsibility of the U.S. Government regarding a pandemic, the coronavirus, Ebola? What is the first responsibility of the United States Government? Mr. Klain. The first responsibility of this government is to keep the American people safe. And the best way---- Mr. Perry. To keep the American people safe. That is right. Mr. Klain. Yes, sir. And the best way to do that, as we did with Ebola, as we do with other things, is be engaged globally in helping nations fight these diseases overseas so they do not come here, sir. Mr. Perry. So, are you, are you advocating for a travel ban outright to China or from China? I am trying to get that from your initial testimony and I couldn't tell where you were. You were critical of the current situation but you did not offer your solution set as an expert, so to speak. Mr. Klain. Sir, I did offer my solution set. It was that we monitor carefully everyone who has come to this country from China recently. Mr. Perry. How many people travel from China to the United States every single day, sir? Mr. Klain. Well, before this outbreak it was about 8,000 a day. Mr. Perry. Eight thousand a day? Mr. Klain. Yes, sir. Mr. Perry. And it is your studied opinion that we should let that happen unencumbered, unimpeded, under all circumstances and monitor those 8,000 people a day's whereabouts should this continue to progress and we found an outbreak in the United States of America? Mr. Klain. Congressman, it is my studied opinion that we will never reduce that to zero due to trade and due to travel of Americans and Americans' family members. In fact, the President's order exempts 11 different categories of people from going back and forth to China, as well as hundreds of people a day bringing goods here. Mr. Perry. So, it is---- Mr. Klain. And so given that hundreds---- Mr. Perry [continuing]. Zero or all? Mr. Klain. No, sir. Given that hundreds of people, thousands of people will come here every day, I take it, sir, it is not your position that American citizens in China should be stranded there and unable to come back. And, given that, then the only practical thing we can do is to monitor those who are coming here to this country, who are bringing medicines to this country, who are bringing goods. Mr. Perry. May I close with the time I have, Mr. Chairman. Mr. Klain. That seems like the only practical solution. Mr. Perry. Mr. Klain, we appreciate your experience, we do, and your expertise because you have done this to a certain extent, but I do not think that you have operated in the same realm with the Chinese Communist Government and their actions toward the United States. So, things are a little different. And the other thing is, is that while you had a certain experience, it might not be the only way of doing things. And so while it is great to throw partisan shots, I mean, when you talk about bringing--I read your piece in The Atlantic, sir--I mean, you are talking about bringing countries and the United States together and not being paranoid. All you did was offer criticism and really no help. And that is not helpful at all. And I yield back. Mr. Klain. Well, Congressman, that piece included praise for Secretary Azar for the other aspects of the response, praise for the Administration's response, to a limited extent, in Congo to Ebola we have seen there. I opened by saying this isn't a partisan issue, and I reiterate that this is not a partisan issue. What I do believe, though, is that if we do not engage globally--and, again, I have been very critical of the Chinese--we cannot keep America safe, sir. Mr. Perry. And I would agree with you. But instead of blaming America, you ought to look more toward the Chinese. And I yield. Mr. Bera. Great. And, again, the goal here is we want to be supportive of the Administration. Congress wants to be on the same page with the Administration. And we want to work with the Chinese to get ahead of this because this is a global issue. With that, let me recognize Ms. Houlahan. Ms. Houlahan. Thank you, Mr. Chair. Thank you all for coming today. I am actually really intrigued by, Dr. Nuzzo and Dr. Bouey, your initial conversations about the fact that the travel bans and quarantines weren't necessarily the solution. I guess I am really struggling trying to understand, based on my limited understanding of biology, and I am a mere engineer, why is quarantining not appropriate? Why is it something that is not useful to this case? How do we know what cases it is useful? And because my limited understanding of biology is quarantining works, is there ever a situation where that would be something that would be useful? And when do we know when it is before it is too late? Dr. Nuzzo. Thank you so much. I will start with answering that question. The challenge here is that we are talking about a respiratory virus that potentially has--and I take the earlier points, there are still some uncertainties about the incubation period--but potentially can spread between people quite quickly. So, it is very difficult to know where the disease is spreading because we just simply cannot get a hold of it, ahead of it in terms of your surveillance. So, those sorts of circumstances makes quarantine challenging because we do not know who we should be quarantining fully. We may decide just based on the numbers of cases in China that we should quarantine travelers from China. But we do not actually know if travelers from other countries have the virus. We also do not know if it is already here because we are only testing people who have a connection to China. So that makes it challenging. Quarantine is actually not something that we routinely use in public health. Despite what you may have heard, it is actually something that we only use in very rare circumstances. We, in public health, when we talk about quarantine we mean restricting the movement of people that are not yet sick. We very frequently isolate people that we know are sick. It is a very routine and well-studied process. But quarantine is not something we routinely do. It is usually reserved for circumstances in which you have a small group of people, perhaps in a measles outbreak in a vaccine-hesitant community. Ms. Houlahan. So, is this a situation where you will know it when you see it? You will know that this is a quarantine situation and an effective one, and this just does not happen to be one? Or we are just speculating? Dr. Nuzzo. In this situation this definitely does not happen to be one. Ms. Houlahan. And, Dr. Bouey? Dr. Bouey. My sense of a quarantine it is a primary prevention. So it is basically separating those who are sick versus those who are not sick. So, without the vaccine, without the treatment usually we have to rely on quarantine on paper, on paperwork. But in reality, it often only slows the transmission, not prevents. Ms. Houlahan. So, I am sorry to interrupt, because I do have very limited time I just want to talk about the vaccine or treatment. Is there anything that we can do in the short-term with this particular situation with vaccinations or treatment from a congressional standpoint? Is there anything that we should be able to do for the forward-looking perspective because this may not be as bad as it seems to have been, at least initially. But at some point it will be, something will be. I guess this is probably for Mr. Klain. Can you talk to anything, you mentioned maybe emergency supplemental funding? Can you identify what programs specifically or what accounts would be useful, not just for this particular situation but for future situations as well? Mr. Klain. Yes, Congresswoman. I think it is very--I think Congress last year expanded the public health emergency fund, considered but did not adopt a proposal to create a special fund to help seed public/private partnerships to accelerate the development of vaccines and therapeutics. And I think while that would probably be too late to really help with this epidemic, it might not be. And certainly it will be very helpful going forward. I think, you know, that means putting more money also into BARDA, which plays an important part in turning this research and bringing it to the marketplace. We are always underfunded and always a little bit behind. But I think, you know, whatever Congress can do to supplement public/private partnerhips in this regard would be very useful for keeping the American people safe. Ms. Houlahan. Thank you. And with the last minute of my time, Dr. Bouey, I was wondering, you did comment on the fact that there would be potential social, cultural, political, and economic implications to our current strategy. But you kind of left it at that. Can you elaborate on what those--I know you said we do not know what they are--but could you speculate? Dr. Bouey. I was referring to the quarantine measures in China. Certainly economic concern is huge. And I think even China's government probably is considering, you know, how long this quarantine can actuate without harming the economy too much. And of course it has social and cultural issues. People who are being quarantined are worried. They are nervous. And especially for the hospitals within Wuhan, they are overwhelmed. Certainly the new hospital will help a little bit, and the mobilization of resources help a little bit. But for people under quarantine it is a tremendous stress. Politically, of course, there are lots of distrust, a lot of questions within China now. And, again, quarantine to lock down a whole city usually is not the best practice. Ms. Houlahan. Thank you. I have run out of time. I yield back. Mr. Bera. Great. Thank you. Let me recognize Mr. Mast from Florida for 5 minutes. Mr. Mast. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. I want to take a step back and ask that we all recall we have districts back home. And while we deal with national policy, the questions that we ask on this matter to individuals, individuals with children, individuals that go to work, individuals that are exposed to people that travel. We will all travel presumably Friday or Saturday back to our home districts. We are in a very international city here. And I think, I feel as though the sense that I am getting from you all about quarantine not being the right path does not pass the test of common sense. But I do not want to dwell on that right at this moment. What I want to ask first, No. 1, in the aim of speaking about people that we represent back home, if you were in Wuhan right now, any one of you, you all have experience with this, what would be your first or second or third line of defense? How would you protect your family? How would you protect yourself? Would you wear a mask? Would you wash your hands? Does that not work? Would you not touch your eyes or your nose? Would you prevent your kids from going to school? What would you do? Dr. Bouey. Can I start with I think there are many other primary prevention methods. Health education is one. I think if people understand what is going on, and they understand the severity of the issue, and you let them know that how can they protect themselves and their families and their children---- Mr. Mast. That is the question I asked. If you could answer that for me it would be fantastic. Mr. Klain. That would be through social media, through any channel we can have. Mr. Mast. Social media is not protecting anybody in Wuhan. Dr. Bouey. The knowledge. The knowledge they can. Mr. Mast. What do they do to protect themselves? So, if there are people that come to our country because there is no quarantine on them because of this academic approach instead of common sense approach, what do people do to protect themselves when they are exposed to others? Dr. Nuzzo. I think what confused me about your question initially is the if you were in Wuhan. And I cannot speculate. I do not know what the situation is happening in Wuhan. As I mentioned before, one of the great unknowns about this virus is the apparent discrepancy in what we are hearing about in terms of severity and illness in China versus the more close to 150 cases that have been reported outside of China. The majority of the cases that have been reported outside of China have largely been mild disease, like other respiratory illnesses---- Mr. Mast. I apologize for cutting you off. But none of you are answering a very straightforward question. Mr. Klain, you are presumably the expert on this panel. If you were there at ground zero, maybe you are not in a full-on TAP suit, but what would you do if your family was going to be in an area that was exposed to it? How would you protect your family from this? What is defense one? Mr. Klain. Yes. So, Congressman, I think this goes back to your initial point, which is defense one would be get out. And the problem I think for this issue of travel bans and quarantines is that probably hundreds of thousands or millions of people have. Mr. Mast. OK. No. 1, get out. Mr. Klain. Right. Mr. Mast. No. 2? Mr. Klain. No. 2 would be, would be---- Mr. Mast. If you cannot get out of there, No. 2, what would you do? Mr. Klain. Would be social distancing. Would be trying to have fewer interactions with people, yes. But keeping your children home from school? We found in the past is when that happens, people's children leave the house and go to shopping malls and other places where they have contact with people. So, you know, it is a tricky thing. Mr. Mast. How would you physically protect yourself? Mr. Klain. The only real way I think to physically protect yourself is to try to stay away from other people. I think if you are going to have exposure to other people, as we all do, you know, washing your hands, doing things to minimize the spread of the virus is good. But, you know, get out of where the virus is, stay away from other people, and then engage in standard, you know, public health kind of practices, wash your hands, whatever. Mr. Mast. I mean, we do not say whatever, this is a serious question. Mr. Klain. Yes. Mr. Mast. I mean, washing your hands might be a simple act, but it is a very serious thing when you are looking at a pandemic like this. Dr. Bouey, one of your last comments that you made was about quarantine perhaps only slowing the transmission. Is there at this point a vaccine? Dr. Bouey. No. Mr. Mast. So, would slowing the transmission be a victory? Dr. Bouey. Well, it is a victory for other cities, other countries. Mr. Mast. Is it a victory for the United States of America? Dr. Bouey. It is a victory for human beings. Mr. Mast. So, it is a victory to slow that. That being something that comes from---- Dr. Bouey. I think so. Mr. Mast [continuing]. Some point. Dr. Bouey. I am not all against the quarantine. I am just saying the quarantine policy should be evaluated very often. Now, every 7 days, every month, you know, it should be evaluated. Mr. Klain. Congressman, my concerns about the travel policy is not an academic concern, it is that as a practical matter people are coming here from China every day. Every day. And we couldn't stop that unless your district does not want antibiotics and protection, and all the things that come from China every single day. And so, we need to be honest about the American people, with the American people about the fact that we cannot keep people coming here from China. We are not going to keep Americans from coming home, for goodness' sakes, and there is no reason to think that a foreign national or an American anymore is likely to transmit the disease. In fact, we think they aren't. So, I think reducing the number of amount of travel from China here is a, is a good thing. But I also think we need to be honest with people about the fact that we will always be at risk for this disease coming here because we will never turn off the supply of people, and planes, and ships altogether coming here from China given the interconnectedness of our world, interconnectedness of vital traffic back and forth. Dr. Nuzzo. Can I---- Mr. Mast. My time has expired. Dr. Nuzzo. I would just like to add that this has been worked out in a number of circumstances, including the lead-up prior to the 2009 influenza pandemic. And, essentially, the best evidence suggests that a lock-down of travel will at most prevent an introduction for perhaps weeks. That is not meaningful in the context of developing a vaccine. A vaccine could take a year or more. It is not like flu where we have an exiting platform that we can use toe create a new version of a flu vaccine for the use in a pandemic. So, I do not disagree that slowing is a good idea if it a meaningful amount of time that it can be slowed, and if the consequences do not, do not--aren't worse than the disease itself. Mr. Mast. Right. Mr. Bera. I appreciate the point that my colleague from Florida is making. I just want to emphasize one piece that, you know, we certainly have emphasized to the Administration is the best thing we can do right now is get the smartest people, our smartest epidemiologists and everyone working side-by-side with the Chinese and the global community to figure out as much as we can about infectiousness, incubation, transmission, et cetera. And, again, the best thing we can do is get those folks into China. And the President may be working on this every day with phone calls, et cetera. But, again, we are here to help. And I do think we can then better answer a lot of those questions if we can get our folks into China to help answer some of those questions. I am going to go to the chairman of the full committee, Mr. Engel. Mr. Engel, you are recognized for 5 minutes. The Chairman. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Thank you for calling this important hearing on the coronavirus outbreak. It is one of the reasons why I love this committee, we are really right in the center of things, and quickly as well. So, I want to start by expressing my sympathy and condolences to everyone who has been impacted by the outbreak, including the people of China, other affected countries, and those here in the United States. It is hard to imagine how painful and scary these past weeks have been for these families. Here on the Foreign Affairs Committee we know that global health is critical to our national security. We held a hearing on women's health this morning. The rapid spread of the coronavirus over the past month shows this all too clearly. Our country needs substantial resources to strengthen our ability to prepare for and respond to public health crises like this. But instead of building up that capacity, the Trump administration has scaled down some of our most critical public health institutions. Over the past 3 years, the Administration has slashed the budget for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, known as CDC, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infections Diseases, and the CDC's Global Health Security Agenda, making it much harder for the agency to respond to outbreaks overseas. And here in the U.S., our own response capabilities are diminished. State and local health departments, our first line of defense in public health emergencies, are short staffed, down tens of thousands of health workers compared to where we were just in 2008. This Fiscal Year President Trump is proposing a nearly 20 percent cut to the CDC's budget--and you heard that right. Just as we are confronting the coronavirus, the President wants to cut the very agency on the front lines of fighting the disease. I think Americans from all corners of the Nation will find that extremely unwise, if not crazy. And I hope all my colleagues will join me in opposing this dangerous plan and committing to support the CDC's important work. Rather, building up our institutions is critical. So is working hand-in-hand with other countries and investing in international bodies like the World Health Organization, WHO. In order for us to effectively fight this virus, we need to respond with evidence-based practices, transparency, collaboration, and communication. To that end, I am glad that the Chinese authorities have been more cooperative partners with the United States and others in the international community in handling the coronavirus than they were during 2003 SARS outbreak. Maybe we learned something from that. But the way the Chinese Communist Party has treated its citizens in response to this outbreak is horrifying: crackdowns on transparency and information, brave doctors and ordinary citizens facing draconian punishments merely for speaking about the outbreak. It is unacceptable and must come to an end. And in our own country we need to approach this outbreak with a scientific, fact-based approach. The United States and other countries around the world have put in place unprecedented travel restrictions in response to the virus. These measures are not proven to improve public health outcomes, rather, they tend to cause economic harm and to stoke racist and discriminatory responses to this epidemic. Now I will turn to ask questions of all witnesses. I must note I am profoundly disappointed that the Trump Administration would not agree to send any government officials to testify today. I understand that there was some kind of briefing today, but this hearing was set for a long time and we did not get any cooperation from the Administration. I personally asked the Administration to send a witness to the hearing. The American people deserve to hear firsthand what the Government is doing to protect them in this situation. Nonetheless, I am pleased that we have such a distinguished panel of experts before us today. So, thank you, Mr. Chairman, for holding this important hearing. And with that, I will move to my questions. Over the past 3 years we have seen reductions in funding for epidemic prevention efforts abroad, attempted cuts to foreign assistance, including global health security funding, as well as the elimination of the NSC Global Health Security and Biothreats Directorate. How would you assess our Nation's current capacity to address epidemics, both here in our own country and in terms of offering our expertise to help other countries around the world? Anyone who would care to answer that I would be happy. Dr. Nuzzo. Thank you. I would like to point out that this is not the only emergency that our scientists at the Centers for Disease Control are managing. They are also still trying to end an Ebola epidemic in the DRC. There are other important transmissions of polio in the world. This past year has been unprecedented in terms of measles cases. So, I think what this points to is the need for continued support and increased support for the CDC and for their other health partners. The Chairman. Anybody else? Dr. Bouey. Can I add? The Chairman. Yes. Dr. Bouey. In the last 17 years, U.S. CDC has been working with China CDC hand-in-hand in every single pandemic or epidemic in China. And the current difficulty I feel as relates to your comments is the reduction of collaborations in the last 2, you know, 2 to 3 years. The NSF, National Science Foundation office was closed in Beijing last--in 2018. The GAP program, the Global AIDS Program was closed last year. The NIH and CDC programs all reduced in size in Beijing. So, when we talk about the influence, U.S. had a huge influence on Chinese public health a few years ago. But the problem is the interruption in the last few years. Mr. Klain. Congressman, I would just reiterate what I said before you arrived. The best way to keep the American people safe is to engage globally and to help fight diseases overseas. President Obama made a big point of creating a, helping to create a CDC in Africa so that we could help fight disease there. Global health security is American security, and we need to continue to support and invest in that. The Chairman. Let me--thank you very much--let me ask one final question. And if it was asked and answered, please let me know. And that is how would you rate the response to this epidemic by the Chinese Government and by WHO and other U.N. specialized agencies so far? What has been the impact of Taiwan's exclusion from the WHO and other U.N. specialized agencies given its proximity to the Chinese mainland, its status as a transit and trade hub, and the handful of cases reported there as well? Dr. Nuzzo. I study outbreaks, and epidemics, and pandemics in various different settings. And in every situation that we have looked at there have always been challenges, there have always been missteps, and there have always been mistakes. I have not personally seen yet a mistake that I haven't also seen in other places. And so, while I think that there is an important gap in our knowledge and for which I think it is incredibly urgent that we gain additional data in order to answer some of these questions that we still have, I also have to imagine that any country dealing with tens of thousands, or essentially tens of thousands of cases now would be hard pressed to handle all that it needs to do, including managing the patients, standing up enhanced laboratory surveillance, rolling it out to all of the hospital clinics, making sure the hospitals have all the personal protective equipment that they need. So, I am very reluctant to criticize anybody at this point. In terms of the World Health Organization, they are limited by their member States. The international health regulations were established to define the maximum efforts that countries should take in the name of disease control. They are inherently looking at international issues and not what individual countries do within their own borders so long as it does not spill across their borders. What we have seen from the WHO is that they have been very reluctant to call out countries, all countries, not just China. And there was questions earlier about whether they were unduly influenced by China. Just looking at the Ebola outbreak in the DRC, there was a long period for which many individuals thought that they should have declared a public health emergency of international concern, and they did not want to. And I believe, and the director-general said, and I believe him at his word, that one of his deep concerns was that in doing so it would encourage countries to take non-evidence based actions like banning travel and trade, et cetera. Very much mindful of what happened in Ebola in 2014. This was, again, reiterated as a concern about declaring a public health emergency of international concerns with this current outbreak. And what we saw was that countries even before the declaration, but certainly after the declaration did just that. So, I believe that WHO is in a very difficult position of, one, not having enough resources itself. It is still very much on the ground in essentially a war zone in the DRC, trying to stop the spread of Ebola, and now also managing this and many other outbreaks in insecure settings in the world. Mr. Bera. I want to be conscious of each of the member's times. If you have anything to add to that otherwise, go ahead. The Chairman. Thank you. Mr. Bera. With that, let me recognize Ms. Wagner from Missouri. Mrs. Wagner. I thank the Chair very much, certainly for organizing this timely hearing. I want to thank all of our witnesses for being here today. I represent the St. Louis area and greater metropolitan region, and many, many of my constituents do business, they study, and travel in China. And I appreciate the opportunity to learn more about the rapidly changing coronavirus outbreak so I can share best practices and up-to-date information with other St. Louisians in Missouri's 2d congressional District specifically. And I would like to just say this, contrary to some of the things that are being represented here today, I have had a number of briefings. I probably attended at least three myself. My staff has had daily briefings from the NIH, CDA--or CDC, Health and Human Services, the Administration. So, I want to applaud the Trump administration for an amazing amount of information, transparency, and trying to keep us up to date on things that are really very frightening I think globally, and certainly here at home. I also would like to thank Representatives Connolly and Chabot for introducing the bipartisan Global Health Security Act to establish a permanent official responsible for epidemic and pandemic preparedness. I am proud to be an original co- sponsor of the bill. And I urge my colleague to support it. Health systems across the developing world lack the capacity to control the spread of the novel coronavirus. Mr. Klain, how is--I will ask the question and then I want to put a context on it--I want to know how the U.S., and it sounds broad, but how is the U.S. helping these partners to prepare? I know for a fact that the CDC and the NIH here in the United States of America have been begging in very early January China to come in, help, be there on the ground. And it took them 3 weeks, it wasn't until about the 28th or 29th of January before they finally said, oh, please, rush on over. We could use the help and the assistance. And we are there on the ground in a very big presence and way. So, what else are we doing to help, help these partners prepare? What more needs to be done? Mr. Klain. Well, thank you, Congresswoman. And I was waiting for either Mr. Connolly or Mr. Chabot to show up here to praise their bill that you are the co-sponsor of. Mrs. Wagner. Yes. Mr. Klain. I think H.R. 2166---- Mrs. Wagner. Yes. Mr. Klain [continuing]. Is vital legislation. I hope this committee and the Congress will act on it, bipartisan as well, as it should be. What I would say is, and this is why I have been a little perhaps more critical of the Chinese than Dr. Nuzzo, I think this delay of a month of getting our people on the ground there in China is hard to explain and hard to justify. And I think it is good that we have some people there. We should have more experts there. We have the best experts in the world here working for our government. Having them on the ground I think would be of use. Mrs. Wagner. And we were trying for over a month to get---- Mr. Klain. Yes. Yes, ma'am. Mrs. Wagner [continuing]. Get there. And we will come up with a cure and the vaccine. Now, sadly, it will take months and months to probably do that, but. Mr. Klain. Yes, ma'am. The other thing I would say is we also needed to work with the nations around China; right? We are going to see spread of this virus certainly through the region, probably globally, but certainly first and foremost through the region. Other nations in the neighborhood have less advanced health care systems than China, less resources, less ability to manage this than even the Chinese do. So, we ought to be reaching out to them to see what we can do to help them. They may need more direct assistance from us in terms of the response. And, of course, we need to be beefing up our own preparedness for cases here. Mrs. Wagner. Well, I think we are doing that. I think we are very much on top of that. That is certainly what the briefings have been telling, telling me. Dr. Nuzzo, what challenges does the U.S. face in deploying testing services? Dr. Nuzzo. Thank you. That is an area that I am particularly concerned about. There seems to be a testing lag right now for individuals here in the United States. That is in part because the CDC has been doing all of the testing. And I know that they plan to roll test kits out to the State laboratories, which I think will be essentially important. And it is essential that States think about how they are going to be doing the testing and what the plan is for that. But we do not just need it at public health labs, we also need it at hospitals and health clinics so that doctors can use it to guide treatment and isolate patients. Mrs. Wagner. Well, and in addition, given that respirators and other medical equipment are largely produced and shipped from China, how can we best address supply chain issues--I keep hearing this over and over again--supply chain issues that could become critical if the coronavirus were to spread more widely in the U.S.? I mean, I talked about some of the medical equipment and respirators that are mainly sourced, being produced in China. But it is also masks, it is so many things. So, can you speak to that, please? Dr. Nuzzo. Yes. So, we need to assessing the medical supply chain and see where there are potential vulnerabilities. That is, I know, work that has been ongoing. And I have been encouraged to hear that the agencies have been working on that. But it also needs to be addressed at the political strategy level in China because the decisions that they are making internally could impact that beyond just our own assessment of what country is producing where, and can we get it from somewhere else. This summer, the U.S. experienced critical shortages in the drug Heparin, which is a blood thinner. Mrs. Wagner. Right. Dr. Nuzzo. This shortage was in part due to China's efforts to control the spread of African swine fever, which is not a human disease, it is a pig disease. They were culling pigs. You need the pigs to make the Heparin. So, we have already seen the impact of how decisions made in the name of controlling a disease can affect health and health care here in the U.S. Mrs. Wagner. I have a lot of other questions. I will go ahead and submit them. I appreciate the chair's indulgence. And I will yield back. Thank you, all, for being here. Mr. Bera. Great. Thank you. I appreciate my colleagues. And, again, a compliment to the Administration that the briefings that they have been giving us, their experts, et cetera, on a regular basis, as well as to our staff. That said, we would love for those experts to come before our committee in a public setting to answer those questions. And what we are really asking for is how can we be of assistance? You know, what do they need from Congress in terms of appropriations, et cetera? And, again, these experts ought to be talking to the public and not just Members of Congress. With that, let me recognize Ms. Spanberger from Virginia. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. And to our witnesses today, thank you very much for what has been a very interesting conversation focused on the epidemiology of this disease and how it is spreading, and also a policy discussion related to what we can do as Members of Congress. And, Mr. Klain, I would also like to thank you for your very specific 7-point plan and recommendations of things that we should see from a Federal perspective out of Washington to help with this and future, future viruses and future outbreaks. And you have talked about the need for high-level diplomacy to address threats on the ground. And so, I would like to briefly just talk about that from this committee's perspective. Looking long-term, I have deep concerns about the fact that we have vacancies at State Department and other agencies, we have individuals who continue to work in acting positions not fully confirmed. And reflecting back on your experiences working with other outbreaks, looking forward toward what we are dealing with now, could you just tell me briefly what your day to day experiences were, how much you were interacting with diplomats and with civil servants, and how some of these staffing challenges might be impacting our ability to react currently? Mr. Klain. Yes, thank you, Congresswoman. My job in coordinating the Ebola response was really to oversee the all-of-government response that President Obama summoned. And that means daily interactions with key people at the agencies at all levels, some at the cabinet level, some below that. I think the good news is many really high-quality people remain in key posts. Tony Fauci is a national icon and hero. Dr. Schuchat at the CDC, others throughout the government. We have great people, Ambassador Green at USAID for example. But I do worry about some of the gaps, particularly at DHS. You know, Congressman Perry was saying how could you possibly screen all these people coming here, and so on and so forth? That is a DHS function. It will require great skill and organization to do that. I worry about the vacancies there. I worry about the loss of institutional capacity for highest levels of the State Department, which has to manage so much of the logistics of an international response. So, there are gaps. We have some great people in our government. We have some gaps in our government. And we are going to need to manage all that. And last, as I said, I think someone at the White House really needs to be running this every day to help fill those gaps, but also to be interacting with other countries. I had daily calls with people in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea, weekly calls with my counterparts in the U.K. and France. These are high-level interactions that really are needed to make a global response like this effective. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you very much. And, Dr. Nuzzo, as we are looking at contagious outbreaks, and in this case there is a contagious outbreak that is happening on the other side of the world. And all of us represent districts here in the United States. My question for you is how could or how should the Federal Government work in ensuring that medical providers across the United States can deal with some of the concerns, have the information they need, have the resources that they need? And that is one part of it. And then the other part of it would be how can we help as Members of Congress to ensure that the information is getting out there and that these physicians and hospitals have what they need? And do you anticipate that there are specific resources that will need to be mobilized to support clinicians across the country if we do see increased spread here at home? Dr. Nuzzo. Yes, thank you. I had said earlier that although we have a perception of this as an epidemic that is happening across the world, we actually do not have enough information to say for sure where it is happening. We are only testing around people's connections with China. Ms. Spanberger. Does that mean that are you asserting that it could be elsewhere and we are not yet attuned to that? Dr. Nuzzo. Yes. Ms. Spanberger. OK. Thank you. Dr. Nuzzo. And that is what other countries are doing as well. I mean, it could very well already be here. And I think an important thing for us to all consider in thinking about this is it is not just about how many cases we have in the world but our level of concern should be tiered to what our perception of the severity is. And I continue to be encouraged by the fact that we are seeing many, many more mild cases than we initially thought were possible, particularly outside of China. As I said earlier, we need to understand what is going on in China about those severe cases and deaths to know if they are in the people that we would expect to have severe illness and death regardless of what pathogen, what respiratory virus they have. It seems like some of the death reports that that is the case, the elderly and people with underlying medical conditions. Ms. Spanberger. Uh-huh. Dr. Nuzzo. And if you walk into any hospital in the United States and just look for people suffering from respiratory viruses you would see disturbing things. I think the critical thing that we need here in the United States is enhanced diagnostic capabilities. We are moving test kits to the State labs, which will be important for supplementing our understanding of the virus and where it is, and potentially to think about expanding the categories of people that we test. But we also need this in health care clinics so that they do not have to wait a day or more to get a test result for a patient to make a decision about whether or not to isolate somebody, how they should treat them, et cetera. And although we have heard a lot attention on medicines and vaccines, there is less attention to diagnostics. And so, I think that is where a funding opportunity as well as funding for State health departments and hospitals who are going to be on the front lines of this. Ms. Spanberger. And just a followup point quickly on that. So, in the absence of those diagnostic tools in clinics and with health providers across the country, the alternative then is what? Dr. Nuzzo. The alternative is you do not get tested for coronavirus. I mean, we are only at this point testing absent the people who are traveling. But in the United States you have to have a lower respiratory infection and have traveled to Wuhan specifically. Ms. Spanberger. Uh-huh. Dr. Nuzzo. Or, if you have traveled to China, broader China you have to be hospitalized for your infection. So, we are only looking at a very small number of people. And so your earlier point about people's level of concern, et cetera, I think having diagnostic tools to help know what people's illnesses are will be useful. Ms. Spanberger. And in the absence of that testing, from your perspective and your role, how does that contribute to the spread of disease at a faster, slower? Dr. Nuzzo. It absolutely contributes to the spread oft he disease because we do not know where it is. We do not know who to stop from coming, and we do not know who to isolate. But I continue to be encouraged by the appearance of mild symptoms because it is important to recognize that we live with a whole lot of respiratory viruses that do not, we do not have hearings about. Ms. Spanberger. Thank you. I have gone well over time. Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman. I yield back. Mr. Bera. Thank you. I recognize Ms. Titus from Nevada for 5 minutes. Ms. Titus. Thank you, Mr. Chairman. Dr. Bouey, do you need to finish that conversation? Dr. Bouey. If I could. I would, because Dr. Nuzzo mentioned several times that the cases outside China are milder, I, you know, no one--I agree with her question, but some hypotheses or, you know, potential answers are in China, especially in Wuhan, within China there are different, we see different percentage of fatality. Wuhan is the highest. So, I wonder if Wuhan they, only hospitals have noticed people who have the most symptoms. So there is a, it is a reflection of a lack of resources medically. Ms. Titus. Well, thank you. Ms. Spanberger, you got that? OK, thank you. Well, now I would like to ask you something. In your remarks you said that in 2003 the industries hurt most by SARS were tourism, retail, and entertainment. And at that point those industries made up 43 percent of China's GDP. They now account for 54 percent. And China contributes a much larger share to the world's economy. I serve as the co-chair of the Travel and Tourism Caucus, and I recognize the huge impact of tourism on local economies. Also, China has expressed concern about travel restrictions that have been announced by the White House and noted correctly that the World Health Organization advises against the application of restrictions of international traffic, based on the information that is currently available. Could you address how we might balance U.S. security precautions with the negative impact that these restrictions on travel have had on travel and tourism here in the U.S., and on international commercial activities? And then either one of you could also weigh in. Dr. Bouey. So, if I can say quickly, that I think both quarantines and travel bans, all of these social distancing measures can harm the economy. So, it is always a--so, often I tell people, I am a public health researcher, a public health worker, then I am all for social distancing. But usually it is not just me talking, it is the economy is also talking. So, as you mentioned that in my report I provided some statistics that it is going to harm China's GDP. And how much, it depends how long the quarantine will be on, how long the travel ban will be on. So, I urge all the policymakers to think about these measures as temporary measures and certainly balance the economic loss versus health care concerns. Ms. Titus. Mr. Klain? Mr. Klain. Congresswoman, I would just add we live in a global economy, interconnected economy. It is impossible, impossible to cutoff the flow of people from China to the United States. They are needed to bring vital goods to the United States by boat and by plane. We have Americans coming back, to and from, back from China, family members, so on and so forth. So, my point about travel bans is beyond the effectiveness issue that Dr. Nuzzo has raised, as a practical matter we do not have one, we will never have one. And, therefore, what we need to do is to monitor the people who have been in China recently who are here in the U.S. and pose public health measures on a very large scale. This is a complicated, it is a hard problem to detect if those people get sick, to isolate them, and to treat them. This isn't about academics, it is the only practical solution on the facts we face here. Ms. Titus. Dr. Nuzzo? Dr. Nuzzo. I was just reacting to the notion of monitoring. And I agree that it is a preferable approach than the restriction of travel and the quarantine. I am less optimistic about the impact of those measures. And just reflecting on Ebola, that we monitored 30,000 individuals and found not a single case of Ebola. And, yet, those programs that were essentially necessarily set up overnight, in many respects diverted resources from, I think, more important work. So, I, I used to be a public health practitioner, so I am thinking from the field and what it means for them. You know, these measures are only as effective as people believe in their utility. There was an important paper where a bunch of clinicians were monitored for their symptoms for Ebola upon returning. And a large, surprisingly large percentage of them reported that they lied about their temperatures because they did not believe that they should be monitored. So, nothing is perfect. And if that is where we need to go I, truthfully, from an epidemiological perspective think that those approaches are more about politics than public health. But if that is what is needed to be done to provide assurances and to make people feel better, then I, in my view it is potentially less resource intensive than some of what I have also heard proposed. Ms. Titus. Well, not only does a travel ban, or restrictions, or monitoring impact the economy, does not it also make it more difficult to share information so that we can address the outbreaks quickly or get international cooperation from others addressing the problem? Dr. Nuzzo. So, I am deeply concerned about penalizing countries that report cases. And when you implement travel bans and trade restrictions, that is a penalty. China may be able to handle it, but other countries around the world are watching who haven't yet reported any cases. And I can imagine they are seeing what is playing out and thinking is it in their best interest to tell, to even look for cases first of all. So, that is something that I am particularly concerned about. I also agree with all the statements that have been made about the importance of gaining access to data in China. I particularly think China understands that severity is a matter of priority. And I do not truthfully understand what the rate- limiting step is. I am not sure that they do not have the right epidemiologists or scientists. I think China is actually quite capable, the fact that they have pumped out many Lancet and New England Journal of Medicine papers does not signal to me a lack of expertise. I wouldn't be surprised if we see a paper next week that tells us more than we already know. But I think that this is critically important, and we should do everything in our power to make sure we continue to incentivize the flow of information. Ms. Titus. So, it affects, negatively affects the economy, travel and tourism; negatively affects our ability to get information; negatively affects our ability to cooperate with other countries. And, finally, we have in the past sent health care workers to other countries where these outbreaks occur, like Ebola. But now with this new approach of bringing people home, that cuts off that assistance as well, does not it? Dr. Nuzzo. And just to add to that, what happened in Ebola, even with threats of quarantine for health care workers, actually put a chilling effect on the number of doctors and nurses who were willing to go volunteer, essentially put their lives on the line to fight a deadly virus. Just the prospect of coming back and having to, in addition to the time away from their families and their jobs, then we put into quarantine, that is another concern that I have. Mr. Klain. If I could just very quickly. I think it is important that public health and scientific analysis drive these decisions, not politics. So, the same day that we quarantined a charter plane of Americans coming from Wuhan, that same day planes landed at airports all over this country bringing people from China to airports all over this country. OK? And so, you know, I just think that these policies on travel restrictions and quarantines, which I understand why they are politically compelling, I understand why one of the members earlier said it kind of, like, passes the common sense test. But policies that are kind of filled with Swiss cheese and exceptions and unevenly applied do not keep us safe, and raise the kinds of concerns about cooperation and effectiveness that Dr. Nuzzo raised. So, whatever we do, I think we need to be candid about what we are doing and what we are not doing, and let science drive those decisions. Mr. Bera. Great. Let me take the chair's liberty here and give each of the witnesses a minute or two, if there is anything we did not ask that we should have been asking or thinking about, or that would be in the public's interest of asking. Maybe we will start with you, Mr. Klain. Again, a minute or two just. Mr. Klain. Yes. What I would say just very briefly is Congressman Sherman said before he left that we have a tendency to overreact to these things. And what I would say is it is actually more complicated than that. We have a tendency to overreact in the short term and then underreact in the long term. After the 2001 anthrax attacks this body appropriated billions of dollars to prepare for a potential pandemic. And most of those investments were frittered away because they weren't followed up. Most of that was gone when I took over the Ebola response in 2014. This body then put billions of dollars into responding to Ebola very effectively. And, yet, before the coronavirus outbreak we were set to see the national hospital network that protects us from these infectious diseases expire in May without being renewed. So, what I would say is we should address this crisis or this challenge immediately, but also make the consistent long- term investments in pandemic preparedness and response that are vital to keep this Nation safe over the long run. Again, I think the Connolly Chabot bill is a good start on that. There are many other proposals. But I think it is consistent focus that really keeps this country safe. Mr. Bera. Great. Dr. Bouey, if there is anything that you would like to add or we should have asked? Dr. Bouey. I will focus, I will emphasize that it is a battle between human and the virus. It is not between persons to person, and it is not between party to party, it is not between country to country. I really hope that global health should be a area for research for health care collaborations that is beyond all the conflict. It think it needs a long-term investment, not only in the infrastructure but also in collaboration, in capacity building. And I hope, no matter what happens between the two countries, between the two parties, that this area can be protected because this is critical for every country, for all the human beings. So, this should be more than just pointing fingers. But this is a time for collaboration. Mr. Bera. Thank you, Dr. Bouey. Dr. Nuzzo. Dr. Nuzzo. As I mentioned in my remarks, I am increasingly of the belief that this virus is not something that we can stop at borders, that we cannot contain it, that we should be probably shifting our focus to one more of trying to mitigate its spread and mitigate the impacts. And as I look at th situation it is, of course, evolving and complex, but it is increasing to me--increasingly to me looking like what we saw in 2009 with the influenza pandemic. And we have a number of things that we learned during 2009. So, we learned that the travel restrictions and the quarantines did not stop the spread. Within months the virus was everywhere. And that is because we had more capability to do surveillance for flu than we have for novel coronavirus right now. So, I wouldn't be surprised if we had those capabilities if we saw a very similar map to what we saw in 2009. So, I really think we should be thinking about it in the context of that and asking, if this were flu would we be doing these things? Obviously, there are still questions about severity. But increasingly, and my, my perspective is that we will find more cases and our perception of severity will decline. The other thing I want to point out is that I actually see some optimism here. Just looking at what we have learned in the amount of time that we have learned from countries who have previously had difficulties, like for instance South Korea, in 2015 it had a very bad MERS outbreak that caught it off guard, they really struggled with, and their information and their ability to do surveillance. And an epi investigation of the case, the novel coronavirus cases to me is the symbol of what our goals are when we make investments and we work with countries to improve their capacities. And we are the direct benefits of that. So, I just want to stress that it is we need more information from other countries. The fact that they are able to get this information is likely because of our help and assistance in many places. We should continue those efforts, not just as I mentioned in China, but in other countries that we expect to struggle. And I think that we should continue to assess our plans based on the information that we have coming in and, crucially, in my mind not so much the number of cases but the severity. Mr. Bera. Great. Thank you. Let me allow the ranking member to make a closing statement and I will make one myself. Mr. Yoho. Well, I appreciate everybody being here. And, Mr. Klain, I have this article here and you are saying we need to keep politics out of it and need to be factual based. But just the title of this, ``Coronavirus Is Coming and Trump Isn't Ready.`` And I read it, and there is a lot of politics in that article. That is all I am going to say. Dr. Nuzzo and Dr. Bouey, you are both epidemiologists. We know that the epicenter is supposedly the Wuhan area, the fish market and the wet market. Correct? Dr. Bouey. Yes. Mr. Yoho. Do you feel it was sufficiently studied to get the possible original outbreak of where it came from? Do you feel that? Do you have any indication? Dr. Nuzzo. The answer is no. One of the concerns---- Mr. Yoho. You said no, you do not think it was? Dr. Nuzzo. No, I do not think it was sufficiently studied. Mr. Yoho. OK. Dr. Nuzzo. And I know that I have heard not just WHO, but also some of the major philanthropies are putting money toward enhancing the study of that, trying---- Mr. Yoho. Yet the Chinese Government destroyed it completely, the way I understand it. Is that correct? Dr. Nuzzo. I do not, I do not have any information about that. Mr. Yoho. Dr. Bouey, do you know? Dr. Bouey. I know they, after they announced the outbreak they closed the animal, the wet market the next day. They thought it was the sources. We do not know. We do not know whether there is a person working there had the first case and transmitted to other people or the animal source was there. We do not know that. Mr. Yoho. But that supposedly was where it was reported where it came from. But then we have heard it was completely demolished and destroyed. And that, there again that creates a cloud of confusion. You know, what is their intent. And if we are going to work on this collaboratively together between countries, politics needs to go away and it needs to be based on science because this is something that we are all in threat of. And I think you brought up over and over again how it does not seem to be as virulent in other countries. And let's hope it maintains that way. But I worry about countries like in Africa where there is large Chinese population in the Belt Road Initiative, and their inability to check with diagnostic equipment. So, this is something that is going to be fluid, we are going to watch, and we want to make---- Dr. Bouey. I think it is to everyone's advantage to know where it comes from. Mr. Yoho. Right. Dr. Bouey. So, I do not think it is Americans or Chinese, it is everyone wants to know that. Mr. Yoho. Sure. We are all here together. Thank you all. Appreciate it. Mr. Chairman, thank you. Mr. Bera. Great. Thank you. And just in close, first-off I want to thank each of you for taking the time to come here as well as your service to both science as well as to our country and the global community. You know, again, the message to the Administration here is we are here to work as Congress. We are all on the same page here. And to the global community and to the Chinese, you know, let's get ahead of this. And it will take all of our resources to learn as much as we can. You know, I think I cannot speak for the CDC, but in my conversations with the CDC, with Dr. Fauci and others, we want to get there and work with you side by side. And if there is one thing that we can do it is that second thing is really put someone in control of this. This isn't the last time we are going to see a pandemic. This isn't the last time we are going to be dealing with a viral outbreak. And as we get ahead of this let's not--Mr. Klain, you talked about this as let's stop just responding to crisis after crisis, let's actually make this part of our national security agenda. And I had the privilege of being a commission member for CSIS. They just came out with a recommendation on what we could be doing with regards to global health security. And in a bipartisan way it was a great commission, great Members of Congress on there, but also, you know, working closely with the Administration and others to come up with recommendations. And I would say let's deal with the situation that we have in front of us right now, but then let's take some of those recommendations and act on them. So, you know, again I thank the witnesses and all the members for being here today. And with that, the committee is adjourned. [Whereupon, at 3:54 p.m., the subcommittee was adjourned.] APPENDIX [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT] OPENING STATEMENT FROM CHAIRMAN BERA [GRAPHIC(S) NOT AVAILABLE IN TIFF FORMAT]